Toronto FC 0, CF Montréal 0 — July 16, 2026

THE CALL — GRADED

TOR Toronto FCAWAY · 1448 ELO

CF MontréalHOME · 1453 ELO MTL

40.0% WIN PROBABILITY 60.0%

Final: Toronto FC 0, CF Montréal 0. The Call had CF Montréal at 60.0% — the match ended level, so no grade. Season record: 39–28.

Prediction history

3 UPDATES

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

60.0% CF Montréal ▲ +0.8

Ratings shifted on the latest results run.

59.2% CF Montréal ▼ -0.8

Ratings shifted on the latest results run.

OPEN

60.0% CF Montréal OPENING LINE

First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 5 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Toronto FC

ELO RATING1448

RANK#25

RECORD3-6-6

LAST 101-5-4

STREAKD1

HOME

CF Montréal

ELO RATING1453

RANK#24

RECORD4-3-8

LAST 103-3-4

STREAKD2

Ratings come from every MLS result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with CF Montréal getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 5 points plus home advantage at Stade Saputo produces the 60.0% call. Full methodology →