PLAYOFFHOTELS
WNBA · JULY 12, 2026 ✓ RESULT

Seattle Storm at Washington Mystics

CareFirst Arena · Washington, DC

THE CALL — GRADED

SEA Seattle StormAWAY · 1354 ELO
@
Washington MysticsHOME · 1460 ELO WSH
25.0% WIN PROBABILITY 75.0%

Final: Seattle Storm 79, Washington Mystics 84. The Call had Washington Mystics at 75.0% — called it. Season record: 39–28.

Prediction history

2 UPDATES

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

75.0% Washington Mystics ▲ +1.0
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
OPEN
74.0% Washington Mystics OPENING LINE
First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 106 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Seattle Storm
ELO RATING1354
RANK#15
RECORD7-21
LAST 103-7
STREAKL3

HOME

Washington Mystics
ELO RATING1460
RANK#8
RECORD13-12
LAST 106-4
STREAKL1

Ratings come from every WNBA result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Washington Mystics getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 106 points plus home advantage at CareFirst Arena produces the 75.0% call. Full methodology →