Seattle Mariners 2, Tampa Bay Rays 7 — July 10, 2026

THE CALL — GRADED

SEA Seattle MarinersAWAY · 1502 ELO

Tampa Bay RaysHOME · 1518 ELO TB

44.0% WIN PROBABILITY 56.0%

Final: Seattle Mariners 2, Tampa Bay Rays 7. The Call had Tampa Bay Rays at 56.0% — called it. Season record: 39–28.

The box

	R	H	E
Seattle Mariners	2	5	0
Tampa Bay Rays	7	14	0

W Nick Martinez L Luis Castillo

Prediction history

1 UPDATE

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

OPEN

56.0% Tampa Bay Rays OPENING LINE

First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 16 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Seattle Mariners

ELO RATING1502

RANK#16

RECORD48-49

LAST 104-6

STREAKW1

HOME

Tampa Bay Rays

ELO RATING1518

RANK#9

RECORD56-39

LAST 104-6

STREAKL2

Ratings come from every MLB result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Tampa Bay Rays getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 16 points plus home advantage at Tropicana Field produces the 56.0% call. Full methodology →