PLAYOFFHOTELS
MLB · JULY 10, 2026 ✗ RESULT

New York Yankees at Washington Nationals

Nationals Park · Washington, DC

THE CALL — GRADED

NYY New York YankeesAWAY · 1524 ELO
@
Washington NationalsHOME · 1496 ELO WSH
48.1% WIN PROBABILITY 51.9%

Final: New York Yankees 5, Washington Nationals 3. The Call had Washington Nationals at 51.9% — the upset landed. Every miss stays on the record. Season record: 39–28.

The box

RHE
New York Yankees5133
Washington Nationals380
W David Bednar L Matt Krook

Prediction history

1 UPDATE

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

OPEN
51.9% Washington Nationals OPENING LINE
First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 28 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

New York Yankees
ELO RATING1524
RANK#6
RECORD54-42
LAST 106-4
STREAKW4

HOME

Washington Nationals
ELO RATING1496
RANK#19
RECORD48-49
LAST 104-6
STREAKL3

Ratings come from every MLB result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Washington Nationals getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 28 points plus home advantage at Nationals Park produces the 51.9% call. Full methodology →