New York Liberty 91, Toronto Tempo 93 — July 12, 2026

THE CALL — GRADED

NY New York LibertyAWAY · 1556 ELO

Toronto TempoHOME · 1355 ELO TOR

65.2% WIN PROBABILITY 34.8%

Final: New York Liberty 91, Toronto Tempo 93. The Call had New York Liberty at 65.2% — the upset landed. Every miss stays on the record. Season record: 39–28.

Prediction history

4 UPDATES

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

65.2% New York Liberty ▼ -1.6

Ratings shifted on the latest results run.

66.8% New York Liberty ▼ -2.2

Ratings shifted on the latest results run.

69.0% New York Liberty ▲ +2.0

Ratings shifted on the latest results run.

OPEN

67.0% New York Liberty OPENING LINE

First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 201 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

New York Liberty

ELO RATING1556

RANK#5

RECORD15-12

LAST 103-7

STREAKL3

HOME

Toronto Tempo

ELO RATING1355

RANK#13

RECORD10-16

LAST 103-7

STREAKL1

Ratings come from every WNBA result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Toronto Tempo getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 201 points plus home advantage at Coca-Cola Coliseum produces the 65.2% call. Full methodology →