New York Liberty 85, Minnesota Lynx 90 — July 11, 2026

THE CALL — GRADED

NY New York LibertyAWAY · 1556 ELO

Minnesota LynxHOME · 1715 ELO MIN

26.0% WIN PROBABILITY 74.0%

Final: New York Liberty 85, Minnesota Lynx 90. The Call had Minnesota Lynx at 74.0% — called it. Season record: 39–28.

Prediction history

2 UPDATES

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

74.0% Minnesota Lynx ▼ -0.3

Ratings shifted on the latest results run.

OPEN

74.3% Minnesota Lynx OPENING LINE

First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 159 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

New York Liberty

ELO RATING1556

RANK#5

RECORD15-12

LAST 103-7

STREAKL3

HOME

Minnesota Lynx

ELO RATING1715

RANK#2

RECORD21-6

LAST 107-3

STREAKW4

Ratings come from every WNBA result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Minnesota Lynx getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 159 points plus home advantage at Target Center produces the 74.0% call. Full methodology →