Los Angeles Sparks 87, Minnesota Lynx 96 — July 15, 2026

THE CALL — GRADED

LA Los Angeles SparksAWAY · 1415 ELO

Minnesota LynxHOME · 1715 ELO MIN

10.7% WIN PROBABILITY 89.3%

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 87, Minnesota Lynx 96. The Call had Minnesota Lynx at 89.3% — called it. Season record: 39–28.

Prediction history

5 UPDATES

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

89.3% Minnesota Lynx ▲ +0.2

Ratings shifted on the latest results run.

89.1% Minnesota Lynx ▲ +1.3

Ratings shifted on the latest results run.

87.8% Minnesota Lynx ▲ +0.8

Ratings shifted on the latest results run.

87.0% Minnesota Lynx ▼ -1.8

Ratings shifted on the latest results run.

OPEN

88.8% Minnesota Lynx OPENING LINE

First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 300 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Los Angeles Sparks

ELO RATING1415

RANK#10

RECORD11-13

LAST 103-7

STREAKL2

HOME

Minnesota Lynx

ELO RATING1715

RANK#2

RECORD21-6

LAST 107-3

STREAKW4

Ratings come from every WNBA result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Minnesota Lynx getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 300 points plus home advantage at Target Center produces the 89.3% call. Full methodology →