PLAYOFFHOTELS
WNBA · JULY 13, 2026 ✓ RESULT

Los Angeles Sparks at Atlanta Dream

Gateway Center Arena · College Park, GA

THE CALL — GRADED

LA Los Angeles SparksAWAY · 1415 ELO
@
Atlanta DreamHOME · 1481 ELO ATL
37.0% WIN PROBABILITY 63.0%

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 92, Atlanta Dream 101. The Call had Atlanta Dream at 63.0% — called it. Season record: 39–28.

Prediction history

4 UPDATES

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

63.0% Atlanta Dream ▼ -8.0
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
71.0% Atlanta Dream ▼ -0.4
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
71.4% Atlanta Dream ▼ -3.3
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
OPEN
74.7% Atlanta Dream OPENING LINE
First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 66 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Los Angeles Sparks
ELO RATING1415
RANK#10
RECORD11-13
LAST 103-7
STREAKL2

HOME

Atlanta Dream
ELO RATING1481
RANK#7
RECORD15-11
LAST 104-6
STREAKW1

Ratings come from every WNBA result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Atlanta Dream getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 66 points plus home advantage at Gateway Center Arena produces the 63.0% call. Full methodology →