PLAYOFFHOTELS
MLB · JULY 12, 2026 ✓ RESULT

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, MD

THE CALL — GRADED

KC Kansas City RoyalsAWAY · 1452 ELO
@
Baltimore OriolesHOME · 1500 ELO BAL
40.3% WIN PROBABILITY 59.7%

Final: Kansas City Royals 2, Baltimore Orioles 8. The Call had Baltimore Orioles at 59.7% — called it. Season record: 39–28.

The box

RHE
Kansas City Royals291
Baltimore Orioles8122
W Grant Wolfram L Matt Strahm

Prediction history

4 UPDATES

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

59.7% Baltimore Orioles ▲ +1.0
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
58.7% Baltimore Orioles ▲ +0.6
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
58.1% Baltimore Orioles ▲ +0.6
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
OPEN
57.5% Baltimore Orioles OPENING LINE
First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 48 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Kansas City Royals
ELO RATING1452
RANK#29
RECORD38-59
LAST 103-7
STREAKL5

HOME

Baltimore Orioles
ELO RATING1500
RANK#17
RECORD46-51
LAST 107-3
STREAKW4

Ratings come from every MLB result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Baltimore Orioles getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 48 points plus home advantage at Oriole Park at Camden Yards produces the 59.7% call. Full methodology →