PLAYOFFHOTELS
MLB · JULY 10, 2026 ✓ RESULT

Houston Astros at Texas Rangers

Globe Life Field · Arlington, TX

THE CALL — GRADED

HOU Houston AstrosAWAY · 1484 ELO
@
Texas RangersHOME · 1490 ELO TEX
45.7% WIN PROBABILITY 54.3%

Final: Houston Astros 3, Texas Rangers 7. The Call had Texas Rangers at 54.3% — called it. Season record: 39–28.

The box

RHE
Houston Astros380
Texas Rangers780
W Cole Winn L Bryan King

Prediction history

1 UPDATE

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

OPEN
54.3% Texas Rangers OPENING LINE
First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 6 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Houston Astros
ELO RATING1484
RANK#23
RECORD47-51
LAST 104-6
STREAKL1

HOME

Texas Rangers
ELO RATING1490
RANK#20
RECORD49-47
LAST 105-5
STREAKW1

Ratings come from every MLB result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Texas Rangers getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 6 points plus home advantage at Globe Life Field produces the 54.3% call. Full methodology →