Golden State Valkyries 79, Connecticut Sun 64 — July 10, 2026

THE CALL — GRADED

GS Golden State ValkyriesAWAY · 1757 ELO

Connecticut SunHOME · 1355 ELO CON

83.5% WIN PROBABILITY 16.5%

Final: Golden State Valkyries 79, Connecticut Sun 64. The Call had Golden State Valkyries at 83.5% — called it. Season record: 39–28.

Prediction history

1 UPDATE

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

OPEN

83.5% Golden State Valkyries OPENING LINE

First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 402 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Golden State Valkyries

ELO RATING1757

RANK#1

RECORD19-7

LAST 108-2

STREAKW8

HOME

Connecticut Sun

ELO RATING1355

RANK#14

RECORD7-19

LAST 104-6

STREAKW1

Ratings come from every WNBA result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Connecticut Sun getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 402 points plus home advantage at Mohegan Sun Arena produces the 83.5% call. Full methodology →