PLAYOFFHOTELS
MLB · JULY 11, 2026 ✓ RESULT

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants

Oracle Park · San Francisco, CA

THE CALL — GRADED

COL Colorado RockiesAWAY · 1454 ELO
@
San Francisco GiantsHOME · 1471 ELO SF
45.1% WIN PROBABILITY 54.9%

Final: Colorado Rockies 2, San Francisco Giants 4. The Call had San Francisco Giants at 54.9% — called it. Season record: 39–28.

The box

RHE
Colorado Rockies261
San Francisco Giants470
W Tyler Mahle L Kyle Freeland SV JT Brubaker

Prediction history

6 UPDATES

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

54.9% San Francisco Giants ▲ +0.3
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
54.6% San Francisco Giants ▼ -0.3
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
54.9% San Francisco Giants ▲ +0.3
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
54.6% San Francisco Giants ▲ +0.1
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
54.5% San Francisco Giants ▼ -0.6
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
OPEN
55.1% San Francisco Giants OPENING LINE
First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 17 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Colorado Rockies
ELO RATING1454
RANK#28
RECORD39-59
LAST 104-6
STREAKL2

HOME

San Francisco Giants
ELO RATING1471
RANK#24
RECORD41-55
LAST 105-5
STREAKW2

Ratings come from every MLB result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with San Francisco Giants getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 17 points plus home advantage at Oracle Park produces the 54.9% call. Full methodology →