Atlanta Braves 1, St. Louis Cardinals 2 — July 10, 2026

THE CALL — GRADED

ATL Atlanta BravesAWAY · 1528 ELO

St. Louis CardinalsHOME · 1508 ELO STL

50.4% WIN PROBABILITY 49.6%

Final: Atlanta Braves 1, St. Louis Cardinals 2. The Call had Atlanta Braves at 50.4% — the upset landed. Every miss stays on the record. Season record: 39–28.

The box

	R	H	E
Atlanta Braves	1	3	0
St. Louis Cardinals	2	5	0

W JoJo Romero L Danny Young SV Riley O'Brien

Prediction history

1 UPDATE

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

OPEN

50.4% Atlanta Braves OPENING LINE

First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 20 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Atlanta Braves

ELO RATING1528

RANK#4

RECORD55-40

LAST 105-5

STREAKW1

HOME

St. Louis Cardinals

ELO RATING1508

RANK#13

RECORD50-45

LAST 104-6

STREAKL1

Ratings come from every MLB result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with St. Louis Cardinals getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 20 points plus home advantage at Busch Stadium produces the 50.4% call. Full methodology →