PLAYOFFHOTELS
MLB · JULY 12, 2026 ✓ RESULT

Athletics at Chicago White Sox

Rate Field · Chicago, IL

THE CALL — GRADED

ATH AthleticsAWAY · 1440 ELO
@
Chicago White SoxHOME · 1518 ELO CHW
37.9% WIN PROBABILITY 62.1%

Final: Athletics 1, Chicago White Sox 9. The Call had Chicago White Sox at 62.1% — called it. Season record: 39–28.

The box

RHE
Athletics161
Chicago White Sox992
W Noah Schultz L J.T. Ginn

Prediction history

11 UPDATES

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

62.1% Chicago White Sox ▲ +0.4
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
61.7% Chicago White Sox ▼ -0.1
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
61.8% Chicago White Sox ▲ +0.1
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
61.7% Chicago White Sox ▼ -0.1
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
61.8% Chicago White Sox ▲ +0.1
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
61.7% Chicago White Sox ▼ -0.1
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
61.8% Chicago White Sox ▲ +0.1
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
61.7% Chicago White Sox ▼ -0.1
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
61.8% Chicago White Sox ▼ -1.1
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
62.9% Chicago White Sox ▲ +1.3
Ratings shifted on the latest results run.
OPEN
61.6% Chicago White Sox OPENING LINE
First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 78 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Athletics
ELO RATING1440
RANK#30
RECORD41-55
LAST 101-9
STREAKL9

HOME

Chicago White Sox
ELO RATING1518
RANK#8
RECORD50-45
LAST 105-5
STREAKW3

Ratings come from every MLB result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Chicago White Sox getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 78 points plus home advantage at Rate Field produces the 62.1% call. Full methodology →