PLAYOFFHOTELS
MLB · JULY 10, 2026 ✓ RESULT

Athletics at Chicago White Sox

Rate Field · Chicago, IL

THE CALL — GRADED

ATH AthleticsAWAY · 1440 ELO
@
Chicago White SoxHOME · 1518 ELO CHW
38.4% WIN PROBABILITY 61.6%

Final: Athletics 1, Chicago White Sox 14. The Call had Chicago White Sox at 61.6% — called it. Season record: 39–28.

The box

RHE
Athletics151
Chicago White Sox14150
W Sean Burke L Aaron Civale

Prediction history

1 UPDATE

Every time the model moved this pick — logged in full. It updates until 15 minutes before gametime, then locks.

OPEN
61.6% Chicago White Sox OPENING LINE
First model run when the matchup posted. Elo gap of 78 points at open.

The numbers

AWAY

Athletics
ELO RATING1440
RANK#30
RECORD41-55
LAST 101-9
STREAKL9

HOME

Chicago White Sox
ELO RATING1518
RANK#8
RECORD50-45
LAST 105-5
STREAKW3

Ratings come from every MLB result this season — updated daily, weighted by margin of victory, with Chicago White Sox getting the standard home bump. An Elo difference of 78 points plus home advantage at Rate Field produces the 61.6% call. Full methodology →